Habibullo I Abdussamatov
Pulkovo Observatory,
St. Petersburg, 196140
Serbia
Research Article
Grand Minimum of the Total Solar Irradiance Leads to the Little Ice Age
Author(s): Habibullo I AbdussamatovHabibullo I Abdussamatov
Quasibicentennial variation of the energy solar radiation absorbed by the Earth remains uncompensated by the energy emission to space over the interval of time that is determined by the thermal inertia. That is why the debit and credit parts of the average annual energy budget of the terrestrial globe with its air and water envelope are always in an unbalanced state, which is the basic state of the climatic system. The average annual balance of the thermal budget of the system Earth-atmosphere during long time periods will reliably determine the course and value of both the energy excess accumulated by the Earth or the energy deficit in the thermal budget, which, with account for the data of the forecasted variations of the Total Solar Irradiance (TSI) in the future, can define and predict well in advance the direction and amplitude of the forthcoming climate changes with high accurac.. View More»
